Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.970535 1.093938 1.228689 1.387024 1.568320 1.769816 2.011274
2025-01-19 0.744147 0.901782 1.088246 1.326157 1.623170 1.983710 2.457511
2025-01-26 0.652237 0.829401 1.050487 1.348800 1.744058 2.254328 2.970263
2025-02-02 0.588420 0.778129 1.025459 1.374955 1.861606 2.523343 3.505171
2025-02-09 0.534136 0.730183 0.995472 1.385517 1.952502 2.759282 4.016927
2025-02-16 0.488942 0.688203 0.966855 1.391266 2.032464 2.983057 4.533211
2025-02-23 0.457051 0.660804 0.954506 1.416739 2.140712 3.256305 5.155143
2025-03-02 0.414048 0.612543 0.906218 1.381688 2.150122 3.374993 5.540209
2025-03-09 0.392164 0.593580 0.899419 1.408860 2.258676 3.660646 6.236757
2025-03-16 0.363510 0.561408 0.868891 1.394176 2.295573 3.829339 6.748259
2025-03-23 0.344065 0.541941 0.856389 1.407103 2.378981 4.084361 7.446056
2025-03-30 0.320599 0.513958 0.827493 1.389066 2.405576 4.239993 7.974597
2025-04-06 0.300334 0.490119 0.804215 1.379776 2.448982 4.434892 8.615075
2025-04-13 0.273226 0.452771 0.755216 1.320502 2.394617 4.440609 8.875726
2025-04-20 0.262316 0.442300 0.751614 1.342911 2.495861 4.756623 9.826786
2025-04-27 0.252864 0.433575 0.750220 1.368952 2.606274 5.102632 10.892785
2025-05-04 0.241882 0.421244 0.741244 1.379462 2.686348 5.394841 11.880806
2025-05-11 0.231119 0.408493 0.730424 1.385183 2.756792 5.674066 12.879921
2025-05-18 0.223742 0.401429 0.729606 1.410533 2.870613 6.060082 14.195487
2025-05-25 0.209416 0.380320 0.700472 1.375651 2.851291 6.146254 14.776925
2025-06-01 0.203526 0.374883 0.701229 1.402691 2.970494 6.562979 16.273986
2025-06-08 0.193315 0.360384 0.683076 1.388078 2.994403 6.758251 17.214433
2025-06-15 0.186797 0.352693 0.677941 1.400943 3.082465 7.117946 18.664035